Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Portsmouth beat Manchester City with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 6 (before the first match) against those on March 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Champions League | 41.5% | 29.7% | −11.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 32.0% | 42.0% | +9.9 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 51.5% | 59.4% | +7.9 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 11.4% | 4.0% | −7.3 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 25.5% | 32.3% | +6.8 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 11.2% | 5.2% | −6.0 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 96.3% | 91.1% | −5.3 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 22.2% | 27.5% | +5.3 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 41.7% | 46.0% | +4.3 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 51.1% | 47.8% | −3.3 |
