Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Middlesbrough with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 1 (before the first match) against those on February 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 48.7% | 29.3% | −19.5 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 42.8% | 58.7% | +15.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 31.5% | 43.4% | +11.9 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 33.1% | 24.5% | −8.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 33.5% | 41.8% | +8.3 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 27.2% | 20.1% | −7.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 90.0% | 83.9% | −6.1 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 6.2% | 11.7% | +5.5 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 8.5% | 3.6% | −4.9 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 86.3% | 91.2% | +4.9 |
