Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Aston Villa with a 21.5% chance and Middlesbrough beat Chelsea with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 8 (before the first match) against those on February 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 76.0% | 86.3% | +10.2 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 11.5% | 3.1% | −8.4 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 18.8% | 11.5% | −7.4 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 29.7% | 35.3% | +5.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 44.5% | 38.9% | −5.6 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 58.9% | 64.2% | +5.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 44.6% | 39.7% | −4.9 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 7.7% | 12.6% | +4.8 |
| Wigan Athletic | Europa League | 13.7% | 9.3% | −4.4 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 19.8% | 15.9% | −3.9 |
