Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Arsenal with a 10.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 23 (before the first match) against those on February 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 41.1% | 31.5% | −9.5 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 18.5% | 27.2% | +8.7 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 3.7% | 9.2% | +5.5 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 11.6% | 6.2% | −5.4 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 45.0% | 40.0% | −5.1 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 8.8% | 13.2% | +4.5 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 44.6% | 40.4% | −4.2 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 2.1% | 5.8% | +3.7 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 5.2% | 8.5% | +3.4 |
