Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Wigan Athletic beat Middlesbrough with a 20.7% chance and Sunderland beat West Bromwich Albion with a 13.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 15 (before the first match) against those on January 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 62.5% | 43.2% | −19.4 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 32.2% | 47.2% | +15.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 19.7% | 30.6% | +10.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 51.2% | 41.1% | −10.1 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 77.3% | 83.4% | +6.0 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 14.5% | 8.8% | −5.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 41.1% | 35.8% | −5.4 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 13.2% | 18.5% | +5.4 |
| Wigan Athletic | Europa League | 8.9% | 13.5% | +4.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 91.3% | 95.8% | +4.5 |
