Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Aston Villa with a 17.5% chance and West Bromwich Albion beat Wigan Athletic with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 4 (before the first match) against those on January 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 48.9% | 32.2% | −16.7 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 50.7% | 62.5% | +11.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 39.4% | 51.2% | +11.8 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 67.3% | 77.3% | +10.0 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 50.0% | 41.1% | −8.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 38.9% | 45.9% | +7.0 |
| Wigan Athletic | Europa League | 15.4% | 8.9% | −6.5 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 43.9% | 38.5% | −5.4 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 9.5% | 14.5% | +5.0 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 8.2% | 3.3% | −4.9 |
