Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Bolton Wanderers with a 21.3% chance and Crystal Palace beat Fulham with a 20.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 27 (before the first match) against those on October 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 77.6% | 67.3% | −10.3 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 55.7% | 47.8% | −7.9 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 56.6% | 64.5% | +7.9 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 76.6% | 84.0% | +7.5 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 29.2% | 22.6% | −6.6 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 5.7% | 10.6% | +4.9 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 6.0% | 10.2% | +4.1 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 12.8% | 9.0% | −3.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 45.5% | 41.9% | −3.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 93.0% | 96.5% | +3.5 |
