Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester City beat Chelsea with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 4 (before the first match) against those on October 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 41.9% | 52.3% | +10.4 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 64.5% | 74.3% | +9.8 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 23.4% | 14.1% | −9.2 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 36.0% | 44.5% | +8.4 |
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 11.2% | 19.2% | +8.0 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 84.0% | 76.2% | −7.9 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 19.3% | 11.6% | −7.7 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 19.8% | 13.5% | −6.3 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 13.2% | 8.0% | −5.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 42.4% | 37.5% | −4.8 |
