Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Portsmouth with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 20 (before the first match) against those on September 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 26.4% | 19.6% | −6.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 39.2% | 45.5% | +6.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 70.7% | 76.6% | +5.9 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 44.6% | 50.5% | +5.9 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 37.7% | 43.4% | +5.6 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 34.7% | 29.2% | −5.5 |
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 14.4% | 9.3% | −5.1 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 51.2% | 55.7% | +4.5 |
| Everton | Relegation | 7.8% | 3.4% | −4.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 10.4% | 6.0% | −4.4 |
