Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Newcastle with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 20 (before the first match) against those on April 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 36.4% | 56.9% | +20.6 |
| Everton | Champions League | 43.1% | 28.7% | −14.5 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 47.7% | 35.4% | −12.3 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 89.4% | 77.4% | −12.1 |
| Middlesbrough | Europa League | 16.6% | 28.4% | +11.8 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 61.6% | 72.0% | +10.4 |
| Everton | Europa League | 45.2% | 53.3% | +8.1 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 14.2% | 7.2% | −7.1 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 3.3% | 8.6% | +5.3 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 21.2% | 16.0% | −5.3 |
