Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Norwich City beat Manchester United with a 13.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 3 (before the first match) against those on April 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 56.9% | 35.9% | −21.1 |
| Everton | Champions League | 28.7% | 46.6% | +17.9 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 35.4% | 51.8% | +16.3 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 36.5% | 49.1% | +12.6 |
| Middlesbrough | Europa League | 28.4% | 17.4% | −11.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 41.7% | 52.5% | +10.8 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 12.0% | 2.7% | −9.3 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 16.0% | 7.0% | −9.0 |
| Everton | Europa League | 53.3% | 46.1% | −7.2 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 72.0% | 78.9% | +6.9 |
