Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Charlton Athletic with a 11.5% chance and Southampton beat Middlesbrough with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 16 (before the first match) against those on March 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Relegation | 52.5% | 31.7% | −20.8 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 43.6% | 61.6% | +18.0 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 35.5% | 21.2% | −14.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 24.3% | 36.4% | +12.1 |
| Middlesbrough | Europa League | 28.5% | 16.6% | −11.9 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 33.3% | 44.3% | +11.0 |
| Everton | Europa League | 35.6% | 45.2% | +9.6 |
| Everton | Champions League | 52.4% | 43.1% | −9.2 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 7.0% | 13.6% | +6.6 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 95.0% | 89.4% | −5.6 |
