Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Everton with a 20.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 28 (before the first match) against those on March 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 20.9% | 34.4% | +13.5 |
| Middlesbrough | Europa League | 35.8% | 27.9% | −7.9 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 59.2% | 52.4% | −6.8 |
| Everton | Champions League | 55.1% | 48.6% | −6.4 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 2.4% | 8.6% | +6.1 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 18.2% | 12.9% | −5.3 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 91.5% | 96.3% | +4.8 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 49.2% | 44.7% | −4.5 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 7.4% | 2.9% | −4.4 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 92.2% | 96.6% | +4.4 |
