Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Aston Villa with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 22 (before the first match) against those on March 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Champions League | 37.0% | 52.4% | +15.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 38.9% | 24.3% | −14.6 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 57.9% | 43.6% | −14.3 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 83.2% | 96.5% | +13.3 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 25.3% | 35.5% | +10.2 |
| Middlesbrough | Europa League | 37.0% | 28.5% | −8.6 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 26.6% | 33.3% | +6.8 |
| Everton | Europa League | 42.4% | 35.6% | −6.8 |
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 10.6% | 4.9% | −5.7 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 92.3% | 97.4% | +5.2 |
