Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Birmingham City with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 16 (before the first match) against those on January 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 20.9% | 31.5% | +10.6 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 58.9% | 50.0% | −8.9 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 9.4% | 16.3% | +7.0 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 77.6% | 84.2% | +6.7 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 4.5% | 11.2% | +6.6 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 59.4% | 52.9% | −6.6 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 5.8% | 12.3% | +6.4 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 18.7% | 12.5% | −6.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 33.0% | 27.3% | −5.7 |
| Everton | Champions League | 44.8% | 39.8% | −5.0 |
