Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester United beat Arsenal with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 24 (before the first match) against those on February 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 27.3% | 38.0% | +10.7 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 16.3% | 24.7% | +8.4 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 11.2% | 4.2% | −7.0 |
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 13.7% | 6.8% | −6.9 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 31.5% | 25.9% | −5.6 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 52.9% | 58.3% | +5.4 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 12.5% | 7.9% | −4.6 |
| Everton | Champions League | 39.8% | 44.3% | +4.5 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 5.6% | 1.6% | −3.9 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 4.5% | 0.9% | −3.6 |
