Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Portsmouth with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 5 (before the first match) against those on January 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 42.9% | 33.0% | −9.9 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 14.4% | 5.8% | −8.6 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 12.6% | 4.5% | −8.1 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 84.8% | 92.7% | +7.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 25.6% | 18.7% | −6.9 |
| Everton | Champions League | 39.0% | 44.8% | +5.9 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 15.0% | 20.9% | +5.9 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 72.4% | 77.6% | +5.1 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 54.7% | 58.9% | +4.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 5.2% | 9.4% | +4.1 |
