Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Aston Villa with a 24.2% chance and Bolton Wanderers beat Birmingham City with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 1 (before the first match) against those on January 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 67.2% | 54.7% | −12.6 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 74.5% | 84.8% | +10.3 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 62.2% | 72.4% | +10.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 21.4% | 12.6% | −8.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 35.4% | 42.9% | +7.5 |
| Everton | Champions League | 31.9% | 39.0% | +7.1 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 21.4% | 14.4% | −7.0 |
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 20.8% | 14.2% | −6.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 50.1% | 56.7% | +6.6 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 14.0% | 9.5% | −4.5 |
