Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Birmingham City beat Liverpool with a 14.9% chance and Fulham beat Newcastle with a 16.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 1 (before the first match) against those on November 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champion | 31.6% | 43.1% | +11.5 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 14.9% | 24.9% | +10.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 53.5% | 44.5% | −9.0 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 22.2% | 13.7% | −8.5 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 52.7% | 45.0% | −7.7 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 11.5% | 6.2% | −5.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 88.1% | 93.2% | +5.1 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 12.1% | 7.0% | −5.1 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 22.3% | 17.6% | −4.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 25.5% | 29.6% | +4.1 |
