Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Birmingham City with a 12.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 24 (before the first match) against those on November 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 53.1% | 40.7% | −12.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 46.6% | 35.0% | −11.6 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 55.9% | 66.2% | +10.3 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 28.4% | 38.3% | +10.0 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 22.5% | 31.6% | +9.1 |
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 13.4% | 20.5% | +7.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 81.6% | 88.1% | +6.5 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 17.7% | 11.5% | −6.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 58.8% | 52.7% | −6.2 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 27.6% | 22.2% | −5.3 |
