Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Birmingham City with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 7 (before the first match) against those on November 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 39.2% | 26.0% | −13.2 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 29.6% | 20.3% | −9.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 32.9% | 41.3% | +8.4 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 13.7% | 6.5% | −7.2 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 58.2% | 64.3% | +6.1 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 24.9% | 30.6% | +5.7 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 17.6% | 12.2% | −5.4 |
| Everton | Champions League | 14.4% | 18.8% | +4.4 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 52.5% | 48.3% | −4.2 |
| Everton | Europa League | 15.8% | 19.6% | +3.8 |
