Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wolverhampton beat Manchester City with a 14.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 28 (before the first match) against those on October 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Relegation | 43.9% | 55.3% | +11.4 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 40.8% | 31.2% | −9.5 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 79.6% | 70.8% | −8.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 32.3% | 23.7% | −8.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 78.0% | 86.3% | +8.3 |
| Birmingham City | Champions League | 31.0% | 22.8% | −8.2 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 17.5% | 25.7% | +8.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 76.7% | 84.8% | +8.1 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 28.4% | 20.3% | −8.1 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 20.1% | 12.3% | −7.8 |
