Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Middlesbrough beat Southampton with a 13.2% chance and Fulham beat Blackburn Rovers with a 17.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 21 (before the first match) against those on September 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Champions League | 33.9% | 22.2% | −11.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 67.5% | 78.0% | +10.5 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 30.7% | 40.8% | +10.1 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 24.5% | 15.1% | −9.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 41.5% | 32.3% | −9.3 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 34.8% | 43.9% | +9.1 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 16.9% | 8.9% | −8.0 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 9.7% | 17.5% | +7.9 |
| Birmingham City | Champions League | 23.6% | 31.0% | +7.4 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 17.0% | 10.8% | −6.2 |
