Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Charlton Athletic beat Blackburn Rovers with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 14 (before the first match) against those on October 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champions League | 20.0% | 30.3% | +10.3 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 22.8% | 14.2% | −8.6 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 77.4% | 68.9% | −8.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 24.8% | 16.8% | −8.0 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 22.6% | 14.8% | −7.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 29.9% | 37.5% | +7.6 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 54.1% | 61.2% | +7.1 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 33.9% | 40.4% | +6.5 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 11.3% | 16.4% | +5.1 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 20.9% | 25.5% | +4.6 |
