Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 3 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 25 (before the first match) against those on May 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Champions League | 51.3% | 25.3% | −26.0 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 45.8% | 70.5% | +24.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 41.2% | 63.7% | +22.5 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 66.3% | 85.7% | +19.4 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 53.1% | 36.3% | −16.9 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 14.7% | 1.2% | −13.4 |
| Fulham | Europa League | 8.3% | 2.5% | −5.7 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 5.1% | <0.1% | −5.1 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 5.3% | 0.2% | −5.0 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 95.5% | >99.9% | +4.5 |
