Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Everton with a 22.7% chance, Liverpool beat Manchester United with a 19.0% chance, Aston Villa beat Middlesbrough with a 23.5% chance, and Bolton Wanderers beat Southampton with a 17.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 20 (before the first match) against those on April 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 34.8% | 66.3% | +31.4 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 35.1% | 14.7% | −20.4 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 22.0% | 5.3% | −16.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 28.6% | 41.2% | +12.7 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 82.9% | 95.5% | +12.6 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 35.0% | 45.8% | +10.8 |
| Birmingham City | Europa League | 13.3% | 3.0% | −10.3 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 43.8% | 53.1% | +9.4 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 13.7% | 5.1% | −8.6 |
| Middlesbrough | Europa League | 7.2% | 0.3% | −6.9 |
