Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bolton Wanderers beat Everton with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 4 (before the first match) against those on May 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Europa League | 35.3% | 7.8% | −27.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 64.7% | 92.2% | +27.5 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 3.2% | 20.1% | +16.9 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 23.9% | 7.8% | −16.1 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 85.4% | >99.9% | +14.6 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 11.4% | <0.1% | −11.4 |
