Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Portsmouth beat Manchester United with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 13 (before the first match) against those on April 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Europa League | 7.3% | 20.4% | +13.2 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 13.6% | 2.3% | −11.4 |
| Middlesbrough | Europa League | 15.0% | 6.1% | −8.9 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 74.4% | 82.9% | +8.6 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 8.8% | 1.9% | −6.8 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 7.5% | 14.0% | +6.5 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 43.9% | 49.8% | +5.9 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 94.9% | 98.4% | +3.5 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 42.3% | 38.9% | −3.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 29.9% | 26.9% | −3.0 |
