Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Charlton Athletic beat Liverpool with a 18.2% chance and Blackburn Rovers beat Fulham with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 10 (before the first match) against those on April 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Relegation | 56.6% | 74.4% | +17.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 47.0% | 29.9% | −17.1 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 25.8% | 42.3% | +16.5 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 24.5% | 8.8% | −15.7 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 27.4% | 13.6% | −13.8 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 18.9% | 31.3% | +12.5 |
| Birmingham City | Europa League | 25.9% | 13.6% | −12.3 |
| Fulham | Europa League | 17.8% | 6.4% | −11.4 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 4.1% | 13.7% | +9.6 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 85.8% | 94.9% | +9.2 |
