Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leeds United beat Blackburn Rovers with a 15.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 5 (before the first match) against those on May 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 17.5% | >99.9% | +82.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 51.4% | >99.9% | +48.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 37.5% | <0.1% | −37.5 |
| Birmingham City | Europa League | 34.3% | 0% | −34.2 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 31.8% | 0% | −31.8 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 30.5% | 0% | −30.5 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 30.0% | 0% | −30.0 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 71.4% | 100% | +28.7 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 51.3% | 78.8% | +27.5 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 0.5% | 21.2% | +20.7 |
