Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 28 (before the first match) against those on May 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 23.3% | 85.4% | +62.2 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 59.4% | 100% | +40.6 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 36.7% | 0% | −36.7 |
| Birmingham City | Europa League | 34.1% | 0.6% | −33.5 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 30.3% | 1.2% | −29.1 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 44.7% | 71.7% | +27.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 44.0% | 64.7% | +20.6 |
| Birmingham City | Champions League | 11.9% | 0% | −11.9 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 89.4% | >99.9% | +10.6 |
| Fulham | Europa League | 12.9% | 2.4% | −10.5 |
