Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Portsmouth beat Blackburn Rovers with a 16.4% chance and Aston Villa beat Charlton Athletic with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 22 (before the first match) against those on March 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 57.3% | 36.7% | −20.7 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 42.8% | 30.3% | −12.5 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 12.9% | 23.3% | +10.4 |
| Birmingham City | Europa League | 26.3% | 34.1% | +7.8 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 34.6% | 27.2% | −7.5 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 82.0% | 89.4% | +7.4 |
| Birmingham City | Champions League | 5.1% | 11.9% | +6.8 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 4.4% | 10.1% | +5.7 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 13.8% | 8.5% | −5.3 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 54.2% | 59.4% | +5.2 |
