Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Aston Villa with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 17 (before the first match) against those on March 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Relegation | 43.0% | 54.2% | +11.3 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 67.4% | 57.3% | −10.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 32.2% | 42.1% | +9.9 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 24.8% | 34.6% | +9.8 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 23.5% | 13.8% | −9.7 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 40.0% | 47.5% | +7.5 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 19.3% | 12.9% | −6.4 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 9.5% | 4.4% | −5.1 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 87.6% | 92.6% | +5.1 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 86.8% | 82.0% | −4.8 |
