Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Manchester City beat Blackburn Rovers with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 24 (before the first match) against those on October 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 36.5% | 3.7% | −32.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 67.3% | 89.6% | +22.3 |
| Everton | Champions League | 27.2% | 5.6% | −21.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 49.6% | 70.3% | +20.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 70.7% | 90.3% | +19.6 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 42.0% | 60.2% | +18.2 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 18.1% | 2.3% | −15.9 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 25.0% | 38.1% | +13.2 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 22.9% | 35.6% | +12.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 28.4% | 39.4% | +11.1 |
