Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Liverpool beat Everton with a 24.6% chance, Leeds United beat Middlesbrough with a 22.0% chance, Birmingham City beat Newcastle with a 15.5% chance, and Fulham beat Tottenham with a 17.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 27 (before the first match) against those on August 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 16.1% | 29.6% | +13.5 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 38.4% | 51.2% | +12.7 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 35.7% | 24.2% | −11.5 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 29.9% | 41.3% | +11.3 |
| Everton | Champions League | 24.2% | 14.6% | −9.7 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 72.9% | 63.9% | −9.0 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 28.5% | 19.8% | −8.6 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 27.4% | 18.9% | −8.5 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 17.3% | 8.9% | −8.4 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 5.6% | 13.2% | +7.6 |
