Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leicester City beat Birmingham City with a 15.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 9 (before the first match) against those on March 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Relegation | 69.1% | 46.5% | −22.6 |
| Birmingham City | Europa League | 42.1% | 29.8% | −12.3 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 13.0% | 23.8% | +10.8 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 77.9% | 88.3% | +10.4 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 51.1% | 60.1% | +9.1 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 11.7% | 20.2% | +8.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 31.3% | 24.6% | −6.7 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 80.7% | 87.4% | +6.7 |
| Birmingham City | Champions League | 18.1% | 11.7% | −6.5 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 7.8% | 3.0% | −4.8 |
