Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wolverhampton beat Manchester United with a 13.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 11 (before the first match) against those on January 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champion | 43.6% | 65.2% | +21.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 45.7% | 28.0% | −17.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 48.2% | 34.3% | −13.9 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 21.4% | 33.7% | +12.3 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 87.5% | 78.6% | −8.9 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 32.3% | 39.0% | +6.7 |
| Fulham | Europa League | 25.0% | 18.5% | −6.5 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 32.7% | 38.5% | +5.8 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 14.4% | 19.7% | +5.3 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 10.8% | 5.9% | −4.9 |
