Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bolton Wanderers beat Blackburn Rovers with a 19.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 7 (before the first match) against those on January 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 48.8% | 32.3% | −16.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 61.8% | 45.7% | −16.1 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 34.4% | 45.5% | +11.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 32.5% | 43.6% | +11.1 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 68.5% | 76.4% | +7.9 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 14.4% | 6.9% | −7.5 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 20.0% | 13.5% | −6.6 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 33.7% | 40.2% | +6.4 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 17.1% | 10.8% | −6.3 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 5.7% | 10.7% | +5.0 |
