Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bolton Wanderers beat Charlton Athletic with a 17.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 21 (before the first match) against those on February 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Relegation | 44.3% | 57.5% | +13.2 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 35.0% | 26.4% | −8.6 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 8.2% | 1.7% | −6.5 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 81.2% | 87.2% | +6.0 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 8.0% | 2.1% | −5.8 |
| Fulham | Europa League | 18.3% | 23.4% | +5.1 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 7.4% | 12.1% | +4.7 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 4.7% | 8.9% | +4.2 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 4.1% | 7.9% | +3.8 |
| Southampton | Europa League | 16.7% | 13.2% | −3.5 |
