Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Liverpool beat Chelsea with a 20.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 29 (before the first match) against those on January 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 30.7% | 44.2% | +13.5 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 49.3% | 61.8% | +12.5 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 29.4% | 17.1% | −12.3 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 41.0% | 48.8% | +7.8 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 12.1% | 5.7% | −6.4 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 38.6% | 32.5% | −6.1 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 62.6% | 68.5% | +5.9 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 29.4% | 34.3% | +5.0 |
| Birmingham City | Europa League | 16.7% | 12.4% | −4.2 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 10.4% | 6.4% | −4.0 |
