Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Newcastle with a 16.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 26 (before the first match) against those on December 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Relegation | 50.3% | 62.6% | +12.3 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 11.0% | 20.4% | +9.5 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 15.8% | 7.3% | −8.5 |
| Charlton Athletic | Europa League | 24.0% | 31.6% | +7.6 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 15.1% | 7.9% | −7.3 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 22.3% | 29.4% | +7.1 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 22.3% | 15.2% | −7.1 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 89.0% | 82.5% | −6.4 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 35.2% | 41.0% | +5.8 |
| Fulham | Europa League | 27.7% | 22.3% | −5.4 |
