Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Birmingham City beat West Ham with a 13.9% chance and Tottenham beat Blackburn Rovers with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 30 (before the first match) against those on October 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 37.8% | 24.3% | −13.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 41.3% | 50.4% | +9.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 37.5% | 28.9% | −8.5 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 18.9% | 10.7% | −8.3 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 34.6% | 41.4% | +6.8 |
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 23.8% | 30.4% | +6.7 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 40.7% | 46.7% | +6.0 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 14.6% | 8.6% | −5.9 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 17.2% | 22.5% | +5.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 15.9% | 20.7% | +4.8 |
