Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 1 draw and 7 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Chelsea with a 16.1% chance and Middlesbrough beat Tottenham with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 23 (before the first match) against those on September 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Champions League | 41.9% | 28.0% | −13.9 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 53.8% | 40.7% | −13.2 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 49.4% | 37.5% | −11.9 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 27.1% | 15.9% | −11.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 67.5% | 78.4% | +11.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 31.4% | 41.3% | +9.9 |
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 13.9% | 23.8% | +9.8 |
| Everton | Relegation | 23.0% | 13.4% | −9.6 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 23.8% | 14.8% | −9.1 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 39.4% | 48.2% | +8.8 |
