Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Arsenal with a 19.7% chance and Southampton beat Aston Villa with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 7 (before the first match) against those on October 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champion | 53.0% | 40.1% | −12.9 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 26.0% | 38.4% | +12.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 28.9% | 40.5% | +11.6 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 41.4% | 51.7% | +10.3 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 32.2% | 22.0% | −10.1 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 32.4% | 23.4% | −9.0 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 20.7% | 29.6% | +8.9 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 35.4% | 44.0% | +8.6 |
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 30.4% | 23.1% | −7.4 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 23.9% | 17.0% | −6.9 |
