Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat West Ham with a 9.2% chance, Bolton Wanderers beat Manchester United with a 8.0% chance, and Leeds United beat Newcastle with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 3 (before the first match) against those on September 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Champions League | 32.8% | 47.2% | +14.4 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 42.5% | 28.2% | −14.3 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 56.2% | 43.9% | −12.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 47.2% | 35.6% | −11.6 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 23.3% | 34.4% | +11.1 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 34.8% | 25.7% | −9.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 30.4% | 39.4% | +9.0 |
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 10.0% | 18.3% | +8.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 35.7% | 28.8% | −6.9 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 13.5% | 20.2% | +6.7 |
