Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Birmingham City beat Leeds United with a 13.2% chance, West Bromwich Albion beat Fulham with a 20.7% chance, and Charlton Athletic beat West Ham with a 16.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 28 (before the first match) against those on September 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Relegation | 37.0% | 26.7% | −10.3 |
| Everton | Relegation | 12.5% | 22.1% | +9.6 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 55.6% | 47.5% | −8.0 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 27.2% | 34.7% | +7.5 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 41.3% | 33.8% | −7.5 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 6.8% | 13.8% | +7.0 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 17.6% | 11.1% | −6.5 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 13.7% | 20.1% | +6.4 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 41.0% | 34.8% | −6.2 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 3.8% | 9.7% | +6.0 |
