Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Birmingham City beat Aston Villa with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 11 (before the first match) against those on September 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 45.3% | 27.6% | −17.7 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 34.4% | 46.8% | +12.4 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 39.4% | 51.0% | +11.6 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 28.2% | 16.9% | −11.2 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 43.9% | 33.5% | −10.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 35.6% | 26.3% | −9.3 |
| Fulham | Champions League | 17.4% | 26.7% | +9.3 |
| Everton | Relegation | 28.7% | 19.5% | −9.2 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 17.5% | 25.9% | +8.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 72.3% | 80.0% | +7.7 |
