Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Leeds United with a 7.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 24 (before the first match) against those on January 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | Relegation | 6.2% | 70.3% | +64.1 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 16.6% | 77.4% | +60.8 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 55.2% | 0.8% | −54.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 42.8% | 87.9% | +45.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 55.3% | 99.4% | +44.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 31.9% | 72.9% | +41.0 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 59.0% | 19.5% | −39.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 65.4% | 28.1% | −37.3 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 32.3% | 68.8% | +36.5 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 38.5% | 71.1% | +32.6 |
