Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Arsenal with a 14.3% chance, Manchester City beat Birmingham City with a 20.6% chance, and Everton beat West Ham with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 23 (before the first match) against those on October 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Relegation | 52.4% | 35.7% | −16.7 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 40.8% | 27.5% | −13.3 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 38.7% | 49.8% | +11.1 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 24.0% | 33.8% | +9.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 41.7% | 50.3% | +8.6 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 49.1% | 56.8% | +7.7 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 15.1% | 22.6% | +7.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 87.2% | 79.8% | −7.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 48.8% | 42.9% | −5.9 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 29.3% | 23.5% | −5.8 |
