Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Leeds United with a 16.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 28 (before the first match) against those on November 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 33.8% | 22.3% | −11.5 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 35.7% | 25.1% | −10.6 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 46.2% | 56.7% | +10.5 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 26.5% | 36.1% | +9.6 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 56.8% | 64.8% | +8.1 |
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 20.5% | 13.6% | −6.9 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 15.7% | 9.4% | −6.4 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 14.5% | 19.6% | +5.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 79.8% | 84.9% | +5.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 42.9% | 47.8% | +4.9 |
